Абстрактный

The Influence of Instruments Uncertainty on the Forest Fire Danger Indices (FFDI)

M.Alzoubi, A.MaungThan Oo, A.Stojcevski

The McArthur Forest Fire Danger Indices (FFDI) have been used in Australia since was developed in 1960s and used by fire authority to measure the level of fire danger. Its value depend on the drought factor which is based on dryness of the fuel and other weather variable factors such as temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, wind speed and wind directions. The accuracy measurement of FFDI output depends on the accuracy of the input variables, inaccuracy and uncertainty of these inputs may result in incorrect of the FFDI value. As the value of the FFDI increased the more effected from the inaccuracy of the wind speed, temperature and humidity. Bushfires prediction systems sensitivity depends on the instruments accuracy used to measure the input data.